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Monday, December 21, 2009

Arsenal V Hull Preview


I think Arsenal are doing their “usual thing” again. They’re just flattering to deceive, dropping points when least expected, and it’s causing them to drift away further from the title race bit by bit. Last midweek’s draw at Burnley was an example of unnecessarily dropped 2 points after they had seemingly switched on all gears, managing to conquer Liverpool at Anfield in the weekend.

So this is Arsenal for you, and you can never even consider the odds on the home win (1.23 w/ Betsafe). Not even in an accumulator IMHO.

Thing is in Hull’s short lived top flight they have already managed to beat Arsenal in the Emirates last season. They lost at home though, and also in the FA Cup (last season), but have always managed to find the net in all 3 games.

Hull are also a confusing outfit. They draw at Man City then lose by 0-3 at Aston Villa, so you can’t really tell whether they’re coming or going. Their midweek home draw to Blackburn though kept them buoyant just above the relegation zone, but very much involved in the dog fight.

Cesc Fabregas is out for a week, and he’s about the only one who can really make a difference in this severely depleted Arsenal squad. He was their goal scorer in the midweek as well.

All other usual suspects are still in the treatment room, so no van Persie, Bendtner, Rosicky,  Clichy, Djourou, Gibbs or Traore.

Hull appear to be on much better shape on this department with no fresh injuries, so only Ashbee and Bullard continue to be absent.

If forced to; I’d have to bet on the Over 2.5 goals option. Odds are fair IMHO for that market considering all 3 games of last season won on that bet. I would certainly avoid the Asian market though. -2 isn’t exactly what I had in mind, and if Arsenal should indeed cover that then the Overs option is covered already.

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